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Could Stance On Term Limits Shape The Congressional District 3 Race In Maryland?

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A recent non-partisan poll by RMG Research in collaboration with U.S. Term Limits was shared with The Observer by the campaign team for Juan Dominguez (as well as a press release from the Dominguez campaign).

US Term Limits Survey of 423 Likely Democratic Party Primary Voters in MD03, February 19-26, 2024

Survey Summary: The results of this recently completed Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District survey show that MD03 democratic voters overwhelmingly support term limits for members of Congress. Support for term limits is broad across all political and demographic groups. An overwhelming 80% of the voters approve of an amendment to the U.S. Constitution that will place term limits on U.S. Senators and U.S. House Representatives. Of the respondents who support term limits, 60% want 6-years total or less as the limit.

In the question: If the primary election were held today, for whom would you vote? (top 5 listed)

  1. Sarah Elfreth 9%
  2. Harry Dunn 7%
  3. Mike Rogers 6%
  4. Juan Dominguez 3%
  5. Michael Coburn 3%

Note sure got 51% and Someone else got 13% (See the full results of the polling in the link below)

In the question: suppose you knew that Juan Dominguez signed the U.S. Term Limits Pledge and supports term limits, but the other candidates oppose term limits. If you knew that to be true and the election were held today, for whom would you vote? (top 5 listed)

  1. Juan Dominguez 27%
  2. Harry Dunn 5%
  3. Sarah Elfreth 5%
  4. Mike Rogers 5%
  5. Michael Coburn 3%

Note sure got 41% and Someone else got 6% (See the full results of the polling in the link below)


The following information is via press release from Juan Dominguez (candidate for Congress in Maryland’s 3rd Congressional District):

Dominguez Surges in MD-03 Democratic Primary, Leading with Term Limits Support

80 Percent of Likely MD-03 Primary Voters Favor Term Limits

SEVERNA PARK, MD — A new, non-partisan poll by RMG Research, in collaboration with U.S. Term Limits, reveals a dramatic shift in Maryland’s Third Congressional District race, propelling Juan Dominguez to the forefront among likely Democratic primary voters. Initially fourth, Dominguez now leads the pack when voters learn of his staunch support for term limits.

Key findings from the poll of 423 likely Democratic primary voters in MD-03 conducted February 19-26, 2024 with a margin of sampling error of +/- 4.8 percentage points include:

  • Before term limits information, Dominguez is in fourth place.
  • Post-disclosure of his term limits stance, Dominguez leaps up 24 percentage points to first place with 27% support.
  • A resounding 80% of likely voters favor Congressional term limits.
  • A significant 51% of voters remain undecided, indicating a wide-open race.

This poll underscores the pivotal role term limits play in voters’ preferences, highlighting Dominguez’s alignment with the electorate’s desire for fresh leadership and accountability in Congress. Dominguez is the only candidate in the primary field to have signed the U.S. Term Limits Pledge.

Dominguez commented, “The support for term limits is clear. Voters are calling for change, and I am committed to bringing that change to Congress. Our campaign is about more than just one issue; it’s about transforming how politics is done – with the values of duty, honor, and country at the forefront – in our district, in Maryland, and across the nation.”

For more information, please visit: https://juanformaryland.com/

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To view the details of the polling, view this PDF:

2024-MD03-Executive-Summary

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Observer Opinion: It is difficult to say if this issue (Term Limits) rises to the top of mind for voters in the 2024 election cycle. If it does, this could be good for Dominguez and any other candidate that supports term limits for members in Congress.

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Social media confirmation of polling data noted above:

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To learn about candidates running in Congressional District 3 in Maryland visit this candidate tracker page:

2024 Candidate Tracker for Maryland Congressional District 3 Race

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You can find the Carroll County Observer on these social media platforms:

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